Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Grorud Matchbane (Oslo)

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)


	Grorud		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	11	5.75	1.28
	8	6.1	1.27	Watch
	8.8	5.8	1.24
	8.5	6.48	1.27
	9	5.25	1.24
	9.4	6.1	1.25	Watch
	8.6	5.8	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.04 ↑ (6.87)	5.9 ↑ (4.77)	1.26 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grorud
10.3%

Draw
15.8%

Stabæk
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

19.1%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

18.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grorud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stabæk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grorud than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Grorud - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: Stabæk will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Grorud is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stabæk is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Stabæk is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grorud won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Grorud won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grorud IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
12.09.22	Brann - Grorud	7:0 ✺
05.09.22	Grorud - Ranheim	2:1 ✺
29.08.22	Start - Grorud	5:0 ✺
22.08.22	Grorud - Skeid	1:1 ✺
14.08.22	Bryne - Grorud	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLTL
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
12.09.22	Stabæk - Raufoss	2:0 ✺
05.09.22	Stabæk - Bryne	2:2 ✺
27.08.22	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Stabæk - Start	5:0 ✺
14.08.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Stabæk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.22	Stabæk - Grorud	1:1
Club Friendly
31.01.20	Grorud - Stabæk	3:1
Norwegian NM Cup
28.05.14	Grorud - Stabæk	0:3 ET

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