Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday


	Grosseto		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.3	2.7	3.25
	2.25	3	3
	2.31	2.7	3.15
	2.44	2.87	3.44
	2.38	3	3.1
	2.36	2.98	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.26)	2.89 ↓ (3.02)	3.16 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
39.4%

Draw
31.6%

Pergolettese
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

21.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grosseto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pergolettese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grosseto - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Pergolettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Grosseto will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grosseto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group A
03.02.21	Grosseto - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
31.01.21	Renate - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
24.01.21	Grosseto - Piacenza	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Olbia - Grosseto	3:2 ✺
10.01.21	Grosseto - Pistoiese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
03.02.21	Pergolettese - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
30.01.21	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	Pergolettese - Lucchese	0:2 ✺
17.01.21	Pergolettese - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
10.01.21	Giana Erminio - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.20	Pergolettese - Grosseto	1:2

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