Match Info

Date: 3 February 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Pergolettese		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.87	3.1
	2.3	2.7	3.25
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.34	2.75	3.05
	2.46	2.92	3.33
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.12	3.28	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.1)	2.92 ↓ (3.19)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
39.7%

Draw
31.4%

Pistoiese
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.6%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

19.3%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pergolettese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pistoiese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pergolettese - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 13).

Pergolettese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pistoiese is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pergolettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pergolettese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
30.01.21	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	Pergolettese - Lucchese	0:2 ✺
17.01.21	Pergolettese - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
10.01.21	Giana Erminio - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
23.12.20	Pergolettese - Alessandria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group A
31.01.21	Pistoiese - Como	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	Alessandria - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
16.01.21	Pistoiese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	Grosseto - Pistoiese	0:2 ✺
23.12.20	Pistoiese - Novara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
07.10.20	Pistoiese - Pergolettese	1:1
12.01.20	Pistoiese - Pergolettese	0:0
01.09.19	Pergolettese - Pistoiese	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
30.10.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	✺

Pergolettese - Pistoiese