Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 33

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Giana Erminio		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.85	3.5
	2.12	2.88	3.7
	2.11	2.98	4.01
	2.1	2.83	3.88	Watch
	2.1	2.63	3.6
	2.06	2.78	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.03)	2.83 ↓ (3.26)	3.77 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
43.6%

Draw
32.2%

Pergolettese
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+2%)

Giana Erminio - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zenti A. (G) 26. Previtali N. 4. Piazza A. 18. Cannistra P. 90. Vitale V. 8. Nelli J. 14. Marotta M. 20. Renda F. 24. Ruffini L. 11. Galeandro A. 29. Samele L.	1. Cordaro L. (G) 5. Milesi L. 14. Lambrughi A. 33. Capoferri M. 76. Roversi L. 80. Jaouhari Z. 4. Arini M. 20. Tremolada M. 19. Pala A. 11. Corti N. 9. Petrovic T.
Substitutes
33. Albertini A. 32. Azzolari E. 5. Berretta A. 13. Colombara M. 6. Ferri L. 97. Gabbiani G. 37. Lischetti L. 22. Mazza A. (G) 3. Nucifero T. 23. Occhipinti E. 7. Pinto D. 16. Rizzo A.	27. Aidoo M. 3. Antolini J. 21. Careccia S. 2. Catena E. M. 22. Doldi F. (G) 6. Dore S. 10. Ferrandino D. 12. Finardi E. (G) 23. Meconi E. 70. Orlandi A. 72. Padalino A. 77. Pessolani G. 99. Rossetti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Vitale V. ⚽,
34', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
45+1', Samele L. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Careccia S. ↑,
46', Roversi L. ↓, Aidoo M. ↑,
58', Nelli J. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
64', Renda F. 🟨,
65', Tremolada M. ↓, Ferrandino D. ↑,
66', Vitale V. ↓, Albertini A. ↑,
66', Renda F. ↓, Berretta A. ↑,
67', Milesi L. ↓, Padalino A. ↑,
80', Pala A. ↓, Meconi E. ↑,
87', Lischetti L. 🟨,
90+2', Albertini A. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Galeandro A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Giana Erminio could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Giana Erminio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Pergolettese	9	2	5	2	5:6	-1	11
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Pergolettese - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.5%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
14.03.26	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Giana Erminio - Vicenza Virtus	1:3 ✺
03.03.26	Alcione - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Novara - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTWL
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
14.03.26	Pergolettese - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Novara - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Pergolettese - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Pergolettese - Triestina	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Alcione - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.11.25	Pergolettese - Giana Erminio	0:3
13.04.25	Pergolettese - Giana Erminio	0:1
01.12.24	Giana Erminio - Pergolettese	0:0
28.04.24	Giana Erminio - Pergolettese	0:1
23.12.23	Pergolettese - Giana Erminio	0:1
Club Friendly
13.08.22	Pergolettese - Giana Erminio	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
20.03.22	Pergolettese - Giana Erminio	2:0

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