Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Carlo Zecchini (Grosseto)


	Grosseto		Seravezza Pozzi

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.25
	1.83	2.84	5.13	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.89	3.46	3.99
	1.66	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.25)	3.22 ↓ (3.43)	4.33 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
50.6%

Draw
28.4%

Seravezza Pozzi
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

26.5%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grosseto's performance.

Seravezza Pozzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seravezza Pozzi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grosseto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seravezza Pozzi than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seravezza Pozzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grosseto - Seravezza Pozzi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Mannelli M. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Marzierli E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 1, Ampollini F. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 2.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

In this match, Grosseto is considered a favorite.

We predict that Grosseto will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Grosseto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Seravezza Pozzi	6	3	1	2	14:5	9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.12.25	Grosseto - Ghiviborgo	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Grosseto - Prato	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Grosseto	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Grosseto - Siena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWT
- Seravezza Pozzi Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.12.25	Seravezza Pozzi - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Foligno - Seravezza Pozzi	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Ghiviborgo	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Siena - Seravezza Pozzi	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Prato	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
07.09.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Grosseto	2:1
15.01.25	Grosseto - Seravezza Pozzi	0:0
15.09.24	Seravezza Pozzi - Grosseto	1:1
21.01.24	Seravezza Pozzi - Grosseto	0:1
24.09.23	Grosseto - Seravezza Pozzi	2:1
15.01.23	Seravezza Pozzi - Grosseto	0:0

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