Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	San Donato Tavarnelle		Grosseto

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.15	2.28
	2.69	3.44	2.32	Watch
	2.86	3.18	2.29
	2.83	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.59)	3.24 ↓ (3.42)	2.3 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Donato Tavarnelle
32.4%

Draw
28%

Grosseto
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

26.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

San Donato Tavarnelle - Grosseto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grosseto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In recent matches, San Donato has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grosseto is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Donato won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, San Donato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.12.25	Foligno - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Ghiviborgo - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Cannara	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Siena - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Prato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTTWL
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.12.25	Grosseto - Prato	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Grosseto	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Grosseto - Siena	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Grosseto	2:4 ✺
09.11.25	Grosseto - Terranuova Traiana	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
08.04.25	Grosseto - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:0
24.11.24	San Donato Tavarnelle - Grosseto	0:1
10.12.23	Grosseto - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:1
15.12.19	Grosseto - San Donato Tavarnelle	4:0

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