Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 17

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Kitakami Stadium (Kitakami)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Grulla Morioka		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.8
	3.75	3.5	1.83	Watch
	3.72	3.74	1.89
	3.72	3.74	1.89
	3.5	3.5	1.8
	3.63	3.58	1.85	Watch
	3.55	3.5	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (3.65)	3.58 ↑ (3.54)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
25.1%

Draw
25.5%

Nagano Parceiro
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

25.9%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

20.3%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Grulla Morioka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Nagano Parceiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grulla Morioka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagano Parceiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Grulla Morioka - Nagano Parceiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okubo T. (G) 6. Takahashi S. 25. Yamato Y. 3. Saito R. 16. Ryu S. 4. Fukagawa D. 17. Niizato R. 14. Matsubara K. 15. Kagami T. 9. Tokura K. 10. Otabor K.	21. Kim Min-Ho (G) 5. Ikegaya H. 7. Ono Y. 19. Sugii H. 13. Konishi H. 6. Nishimura Y. 46. Koga S. 25. Tanaka K. 8. Kondo T. 10. Yamanaka R. 18. Ukita K.
Substitutes
30. Adachi S. 21. Inaba A. (G) 11. Kiri S. 13. Kogure D. 29. Mizuno K. 5. Sako M. 23. Toyoda K.	9. Fujimori R. 47. Kato K. 29. Kudo S. 17. Kutsuna K. 14. Sanda N. 11. Shin K. 1. Tajiri K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Ryu S. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Nishimura Y. ⚽, Kondo T. (A),
21', Tokura K. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Kondo T. ⚽, Nishimura Y. (A),
41', 2 - 2, Otabor K. ⚽, Kagami T. (A),
43', Ukita K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 3 - 2, Tokura K. ⚽, Otabor K. (A),
68', Koga S. ↓, Kato K. ↑,
68', Yamanaka R. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
68', Kondo T. ↓, Fujimori R. ↑,
75', Kato K. 🟨,
76', Ryu S. ↓, Kogure D. ↑,
76', Tokura K. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
77', Ukita K. ↓, Shin K. ↑,
83', Tanaka K. ↓, Sanda N. ↑,
83', Otabor K. ↓, Toyoda K. ↑,
89', Niizato R. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Grulla Morioka	2:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
02.06.24	Sagamihara - Grulla Morioka	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Grulla Morioka - YSCC	0:1 ✺
06.05.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Grulla Morioka	4:1 ✺
03.05.24	Grulla Morioka - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Tokyo Verdy - Nagano Parceiro	5:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
08.06.24	Nagano Parceiro - YSCC	4:0 ✺
01.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Nagano Parceiro	4:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Nagano Parceiro - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
18.05.24	Nagano Parceiro - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
06.08.23	Nagano Parceiro - Grulla Morioka	0:3
03.05.23	Grulla Morioka - Nagano Parceiro	1:4
05.09.21	Nagano Parceiro - Grulla Morioka	0:1
28.03.21	Grulla Morioka - Nagano Parceiro	0:0
19.12.20	Nagano Parceiro - Grulla Morioka	0:2
16.08.20	Grulla Morioka - Nagano Parceiro	1:4

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