Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 12

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Kitakami Stadium (Kitakami)


	Grulla Morioka		Zweigen Kanazawa

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.77
	3.75	3.5	1.83
	4.15	3.66	1.81
	3.95	3.53	1.89
	3.7	3.5	1.75
	4.04	3.47	1.84	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (4.26)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)	1.82 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
23.6%

Draw
26.1%

Zweigen Kanazawa
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

25.6%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

25.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okubo T. (G) 4. Fukagawa D. 51. Fukatsu K. 5. Sako M. 13. Kogure D. 30. Adachi S. 17. Niizato R. 11. Kiri S. 15. Kagami T. 14. Matsubara K. 10. Otabor K.	31. Ueda I. (G) 3. Hatao H. (C) 38. Yamamoto N. 39. Shoji H. 5. Sakurai F. 15. Nishiya Y. 8. Oyama K. 14. Ishihara T. 6. Kajiura Y. 10. Shimada S. 11. Sugiura K.
Substitutes
21. Inaba A. (G) 32. Kamisasanuki M. 22. Nishi D. 19. Sato M. 6. Takahashi S. 9. Tokura K. 25. Yamato Y.	4. Inoue R. 25. Kojima M. 77. Marlyson 30. Otani H. 9. Toshida Y. 7. Tsukamoto D. 21. Yamanoi T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Kiri S. 🟨,
12', Nishiya Y. 🟨,
25', Adachi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Shimada S. 🟨,
57', Kagami T. 🟨,
62', Sugiura K. ↓, Toshida Y. ↑,
62', Shimada S. ↓, Otani H. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Toshida Y. ⚽, Ishihara T. (A),
69', Adachi S. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Kajiura Y. ⚽, Oyama K. (A),
75', Matsubara K. ↓, Nishi D. ↑,
75', Kagami T. ↓, Tokura K. ↑,
81', Kogure D. ↓, Takahashi S. ↑,
81', Kiri S. ↓, Kamisasanuki M. ↑,
83', Oyama K. ↓, Tsukamoto D. ↑,
83', Ishihara T. ↓, Kojima M. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 10).

Grulla Morioka is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kanazawa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grulla Morioka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Grulla Morioka have a series of home games.

In this match Kanazawa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Grulla Morioka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Grulla Morioka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
28.04.24	Fukushima United - Grulla Morioka	9:0 ✺
20.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
14.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Osaka	0:1 ✺
10.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLW
- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
28.04.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gifu	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - YSCC	3:1 ✺
10.04.24	Fukushima United - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Matsumoto Yamaga	6:1 ✺
31.03.24	Nara Club - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.09.22	Grulla Morioka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:3
29.05.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - Grulla Morioka	2:1

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