Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 15

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)


	Sagamihara		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.1
	1.72	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.84
	1.75	3.5	4.85
	1.7	3.2	4.33
	1.68	3.44	4.77	Watch
	1.83	3.45	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.59)	3.4 ↓ (3.6)	4.45 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
52.5%

Draw
26.9%

Grulla Morioka
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

23.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sagamihara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sagamihara - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: Sagamihara will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miura M. (G) 2. Kato D. 4. Yamashita R. 25. Tanaka R. 8. Hashimoto R. 6. Tokunaga Y. 16. Takano R. 24. Makiyama K. 15. Maeda T. 9. Fujinuma T. 17. Ito K.	1. Okubo T. (G) 6. Takahashi S. 25. Yamato Y. 51. Fukatsu K. 16. Ryu S. 15. Kagami T. 17. Niizato R. 4. Fukagawa D. 30. Adachi S. 10. Otabor K. 9. Tokura K.
Substitutes
22. Fukui K. 47. Iwakami Y. 23. Kawashima K. (G) 7. Kinjo J. T. 66. Kuribara I. J. 27. Nishiyama T. 39. Senuma Y.	21. Inaba A. (G) 11. Kiri S. 13. Kogure D. 14. Matsubara K. 18. Miyaichi T. 3. Saito R. 23. Toyoda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Otabor K. ⚽, Tokura K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Fukatsu K. 🟥,
56', Makiyama K. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
60', Tokura K. ↓, Saito R. ↑,
60', Takahashi S. ↓, Miyaichi T. ↑,
71', Adachi S. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
72', Ito K. ↓, Senuma Y. ↑,
76', Ryu S. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,
76', Kagami T. ↓, Kogure D. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Maeda T. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Fujinuma T. ⚽, Takano R. (A),
87', Takano R. ↓, Kuribara I. J. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 20).

Sagamihara is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grulla Morioka has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Grulla Morioka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sagamihara is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sagamihara won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sagamihara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
19.05.24	Gainare Tottori - Sagamihara	0:3 ✺
06.05.24	YSCC - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
03.05.24	Sagamihara - Osaka	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Sagamihara - Fukushima United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTTTW
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
18.05.24	Grulla Morioka - YSCC	0:1 ✺
06.05.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Grulla Morioka	4:1 ✺
03.05.24	Grulla Morioka - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Fukushima United - Grulla Morioka	9:0 ✺
20.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
26.11.23	Sagamihara - Grulla Morioka	0:0
08.04.23	Grulla Morioka - Sagamihara	1:1
17.11.20	Grulla Morioka - Sagamihara	1:1
25.07.20	Sagamihara - Grulla Morioka	0:1

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