Match Info

JAPAN: Emperors Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 12 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)


	Tokyo Verdy		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	5.75
	1.42	4.2	5.75
	1.4	4.75	7
	1.42	4.45	6.84
	1.4	4.44	6.84
	1.36	4.4	6.5
	1.4	4.7	7.26	Watch
	1.4	4.6	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	4.48 ↑ (4.06)	6.59 ↑ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
65.6%

Draw
20.5%

Nagano Parceiro
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.3%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

21.4%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Tokyo Verdy - Nagano Parceiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nagano will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vidotto M. (G) 15. Chida K. 2. Fukazawa D. 26. Hakamata Y. 4. Hayashi N. 28. Meshino S. 10. Miki T. 9. Someno I. 3. Taniguchi H. (C) 27. Yamada G. 11. Yamami H.	21. Kim Min-Ho (G) 9. Fujimori R. 5. Ikegaya H. 47. Kato K. 13. Konishi H. 17. Kutsuna K. 7. Ono Y. 26. Park S. 19. Sugii H. (C) 25. Tanaka K. 18. Ukita K.
Substitutes
17. Inami T. 20. Kimura Y. 33. Matsuhashi Y. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 22. Onaga H. 8. Saito K. 5. Taira T.	46. Koga S. 8. Kondo T. 29. Kudo S. 30. Matsubara S. (G) 6. Nishimura Y. 11. Shin K. 10. Yamanaka R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Yamada G. ⚽,
40', Fukazawa D. ↓, Onaga H. ↑,
43', 2 - 0, Hakamata Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 🟨,
59', Miki T. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
59', Someno I. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
59', Taniguchi H. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
61', 🟨,
62', 3 - 0, Hakamata Y. ⚽,
76', 4 - 0, Yamami H. ⚽,
85', 5 - 0, Kimura Y. ⚽,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Nagano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tokyo Verdy is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
02.06.24	Tokyo Verdy - Consadole Sapporo	5:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.05.24	Tokyo Verdy - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
26.05.24	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
19.05.24	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWLL
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
08.06.24	Nagano Parceiro - YSCC	4:0 ✺
01.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Nagano Parceiro	4:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Nagano Parceiro - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
18.05.24	Nagano Parceiro - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 ✺
06.05.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nagano Parceiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

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