Match Info

JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kitakami Stadium (Kitakami)

Referee: Yamamoto Y. (Jpn)


	Grulla Morioka		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.4	Watch
	6.5	4.33	1.37
	7	4.75	1.4	Watch
	7.65	4.65	1.39
	7.65	4.65	1.39
	7.5	4.4	1.33
	7.36	4.65	1.4	Watch
	6.8	4.6	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.06 ↑ (6.2)	4.57 ↑ (4.41)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
13.1%

Draw
20.2%

Cerezo Osaka
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

20.7%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

19.8%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Grulla Morioka - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Inaba A. (G) 3. Saito R. 4. Fukagawa D. 16. Ryu S. 44. Aratama E. 29. Mizuno K. 20. Shimogami S. 11. Kiri S. 14. Matsubara K. 30. Adachi S. 9. Tokura K.	1. Yang Han-Been (G) 17. Sakata R. 24. Toriumi K. 28. Hubner J. 16. Okuda H. 7. Uejo S. 38. Kitano S. 8. Kagawa S. 11. Croux J. 35. Watanabe R. 34. Yamada H.
Substitutes
32. Kamisasanuki M. 31. Kim Sung-Kon (G) 77. Komatsu K. 22. Nishi D. 10. Otabor K. 5. Sako M. 19. Sato M. 23. Toyoda K. 27. Yabunaka K.	77. Fernandes L. 14. Funaki K. 4. Hirano Y. 13. Kiyotake H. 9. Leo Ceara 48. Shibayama M. 31. Shimizu K. (G) 10. Tanaka S. 55. Vitor Bueno
Coaches
Nakamikawa T.	Kogiku A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Okuda H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Saito R. 🟨,
56', Tokura K. 🟨,
57', Shimogami S. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
64', Hubner J. 🟨,
66', Watanabe R. ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
66', Okuda H. ↓, Funaki K. ↑,
66', Yamada H. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
66', Kitano S. ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Vitor Bueno ⚽,
68', Tokura K. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
68', Aratama E. ↓, Kamisasanuki M. ↑,
78', Kagawa S. ↓, Kiyotake H. ↑,
79', Adachi S. ↓, Nishi D. ↑,
79', Mizuno K. ↓, Komatsu K. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Grulla Morioka is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerezo Osaka in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerezo Osaka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerezo Osaka is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
14.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Osaka	0:1 ✺
10.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Grulla Morioka	4:1 ✺
31.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
13.04.24	Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
03.04.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Sagan Tosu - Cerezo Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTWW

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