Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 11

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Fukushima United		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	2	3.3	3.4
	2.06	3.35	3.58
	2.06	3.34	3.58
	1.91	3.2	3.4
	2.01	3.35	3.51	Watch
	2.03	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.22)	3.27 ↑ (3.14)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fukushima United
45.6%

Draw
28%

Grulla Morioka
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fukushima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yoshimaru K. (G) 3. Matsunagane Y. 2. Yamada M. 4. Dohana K. 28. Suzu N. 41. Uehata U. 17. Harigaya T. 14. Ozeki Y. 7. Shiohama R. 40. Higuchi H. 10. Mori K.	1. Okubo T. (G) 25. Yamato Y. 51. Fukatsu K. 3. Saito R. 6. Takahashi S. 22. Nishi D. 17. Niizato R. 13. Kogure D. 15. Kagami T. 77. Komatsu K. 9. Tokura K.
Substitutes
20. Jojo K. 30. Kato T. 5. Omori H. 55. Shibata T. 19. Shimizu K. 18. Yajima K. 22. Yamamoto K. (G)	4. Fukagawa D. 21. Inaba A. (G) 32. Kamisasanuki M. 11. Kiri S. 29. Mizuno K. 10. Otabor K. 16. Ryu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Shiohama R. ⚽, Mori K. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Matsunagane Y. ⚽, Higuchi H. (A),
21', 3 - 0, Shiohama R. ⚽, Dohana K. (A),
25', Mori K. 🟨,
28', 4 - 0, Higuchi H. ⚽,
35', Uehata U. 🟨,
37', 5 - 0, Shiohama R. ⚽,
39', Komatsu K. 🟨,
39', Komatsu K. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
45', 6 - 0, Higuchi H. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Saito R. ↓, Ryu S. ↑,
46', Nishi D. ↓, Mizuno K. ↑,
46', Takahashi S. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,
58', Kiri S. 🟨,
64', 7 - 0, Mori K. ⚽, Shiohama R. (A),
65', Harigaya T. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
65', Mori K. ↓, Shimizu K. ↑,
65', Higuchi H. ↓, Yajima K. ↑,
67', Mizuno K. 🟨,
67', Fukatsu K. ↓, Fukagawa D. ↑,
70', 8 - 0, Ozeki Y. ⚽,
71', Okubo T. 🟨,
74', Mizuno K. 🟨,
76', Niizato R. 🟨,
79', Shiohama R. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
87', 9 - 0, Jojo K. ⚽, Ozeki Y. (A),

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fukushima United won 2.

Fukushima United has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Grulla Morioka is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grulla Morioka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Grulla Morioka have a series of home games.

In this match Fukushima United is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fukushima United won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Fukushima United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fukushima United
Japan J3 League
21.04.24	Fukushima United - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Sagamihara - Fukushima United	1:0 ✺
10.04.24	Fukushima United - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Gainare Tottori - Fukushima United	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Fukushima United - YSCC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
20.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
14.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Osaka	0:1 ✺
10.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Grulla Morioka	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
02.09.23	Grulla Morioka - Fukushima United	1:3
02.04.23	Fukushima United - Grulla Morioka	0:2
30.10.21	Grulla Morioka - Fukushima United	2:1
26.05.21	Fukushima United - Grulla Morioka	2:1
03.11.20	Grulla Morioka - Fukushima United	2:1
11.07.20	Fukushima United - Grulla Morioka	1:1

Upcoming Matches