Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 10

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Kitakami Stadium (Kitakami)


	Grulla Morioka		Osaka

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.5	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.61	3.2	2.12
	3.61	3.16	2.12
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.56	3.18	2.06	Watch
	3.3	3.15	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.88)	3.16 ↓ (3.33)	2.05 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
26.5%

Draw
29%

Osaka
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

27.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

26.7%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okubo T. (G) 25. Yamato Y. 51. Fukatsu K. 5. Sako M. 6. Takahashi S. 22. Nishi D. 17. Niizato R. 13. Kogure D. 15. Kagami T. 77. Komatsu K. 10. Otabor K.	1. Nagai T. (G) 2. Mima K. 23. Akiyama T. 3. Saito R. 6. Tachino S. 10. Kubo R. 16. Shimozawa Y. 25. Takei S. 14. Tanaka N. 7. Kitsui T. 34. Furukawa D.
Substitutes
30. Adachi S. 4. Fukagawa D. 21. Inaba A. (G) 11. Kiri S. 14. Matsubara K. 3. Saito R. 9. Tokura K.	4. Egawa G. 27. Sawazaki R. 9. Shimada T. 13. Take H. 11. Tone R. 33. Woo S. 31. Yamada K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Akiyama T. ↓, Egawa G. ↑,
34', Kitsui T. 🟨,
37', Otabor K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kogure D. 🟨,
46', Kitsui T. ↓, Shimada T. ↑,
57', Tanaka N. ↓, Tone R. ↑,
67', Takahashi S. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,
67', Komatsu K. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
73', Kagami T. ↓, Tokura K. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Tone R. ⚽,
81', Fukatsu K. ↓, Fukagawa D. ↑,
81', Niizato R. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
83', Kubo R. 🟨,
84', Furukawa D. ↓, Take H. ↑,
84', Shimozawa Y. ↓, Woo S. ↑,
85', Fukagawa D. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
10.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Grulla Morioka	4:1 ✺
31.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	3:1 ✺
20.03.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLL
- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
10.04.24	Osaka - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Omiya Ardija - Osaka	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Osaka - Imabari	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0 ✺
20.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
09.09.23	Grulla Morioka - Osaka	0:3
18.03.23	Osaka - Grulla Morioka	0:3

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