Match Info

Date: 14 April 2021, Wednesday


	Grêmio		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	5.25	Watch
	1.62	4	5
	1.64	3.9	4.8	Watch
	1.56	3.9	4.9
	1.63	4.02	5.36
	1.67	3.8	5	Watch
	1.63	4.05	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.77)	3.95 ↑ (3.4)	5.02 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
57.7%

Draw
23.7%

Independiente del Valle
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.9%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

18%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente del Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	6.7%	3.3%

Grêmio - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: Grêmio will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches Grêmio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente del Valle is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Grêmio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Copa Libertadores
09.04.21	Independiente del Valle - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
03.04.21	Grêmio - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
31.03.21	São Luiz - Grêmio	2:2 ✺
28.03.21	Grêmio - Brasil de Pelotas	4:0 ✺
25.03.21	Juventude - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTWL
- Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores
09.04.21	Independiente del Valle - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.04.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	2:2 ✺
31.03.21	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
20.03.21	Independiente del Valle - Delfín	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.03.21	Independiente del Valle - Unión Española	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
09.04.21	Independiente del Valle - Grêmio	2:1

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