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Current Win Probability
Grêmio 31.9%
Draw 28%
Internacional RS 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
27.9%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
26.8%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.
Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Internacional RS's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Internacional RS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Grêmio - Internacional RS Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Internacional will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Serie B and 17th in the Relegation - Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
Grêmio is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Internacional has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Grêmio has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:25 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Grêmio against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:9 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Internacional
29
7
10
12
32:37
-5
31
18
Gremio
29
7
9
13
31:39
-8
30
Last Results with these Odds
Internacional RS - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.41%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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