The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barcelona Guayaquil 33.9%
Draw 28.6%
Independiente del Valle 37.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32%
28.9%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
29%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Barcelona could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:30 (averaging 0.9:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barcelona against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:16 goals (averaging 1.3:1.6 per game).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Ind. del Valle
33
25
3
5
75:35
40
78
6
Barcelona SC
33
12
12
9
38:28
10
48
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente del Valle - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.09%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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