Match Info

Date: 13 May 2021, Thursday


	Grêmio		Lanús

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	7.5	Watch
	1.55	3.7	5.5
	1.53	3.6	6	Watch
	1.49	3.85	6
	1.53	3.94	6.61
	1.53	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.51	3.92	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.43)	3.8 ↓ (4.07)	6.32 ↓ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
61%

Draw
24.4%

Lanús
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

22.4%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77%

18.5%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Grêmio - Lanús Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Grêmio in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Lanús is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Grêmio is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Grêmio is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.05.21	Grêmio - Caxias	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.21	Grêmio - Aragua	8:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
02.05.21	Caxias - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Lanús - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.04.21	Ypiranga - Grêmio	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.21	Lanús - Talleres de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Lanús - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.04.21	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Lanús - Grêmio	1:2
Copa Libertadores
29.11.17	Lanús - Grêmio	1:2
22.11.17	Grêmio - Lanús	1:0

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