Match Info

Date: 29 April 2021, Thursday


	Lanús		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.6
	2.55	3.15	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.74	3.23	2.7
	2.62	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.61	3.16	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.53)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	2.63 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
35.4%

Draw
29.5%

Grêmio
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

21.7%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Grêmio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lanús - Grêmio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Lanús is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lanús could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lanús won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.04.21	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.04.21	Aragua - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.04.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús	1:0 ✺
12.04.21	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	1:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
06.04.21	Patronato Parana - Lanús	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.04.21	Ypiranga - Grêmio	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.04.21	Grêmio - Deportivo La Equidad	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
18.04.21	Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo	3:1 ✺
16.04.21	Caxias - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.21	Grêmio - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
29.11.17	Lanús - Grêmio	1:2
22.11.17	Grêmio - Lanús	1:0

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