Match Info

Date: 18 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: de Freitas Castro A. L. (Bra)


	Grêmio		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.34	4.5	9
	1.33	4.25	9
	1.34	4.5	8.2
	1.35	4.93	10.74
	1.33	4.2	11
	1.34	4.85	9.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)	4.54 ↑ (3.82)	9.56 ↑ (8.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
69.7%

Draw
20.6%

Sampaio Corrêa
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

24.5%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.6%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	26.7%	6.7%

Grêmio - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grêmio is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
13.06.22	Sport Recife - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
07.06.22	Grêmio - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
02.06.22	Vasco da Gama - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
29.05.22	Vila Nova - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
19.05.22	Grêmio - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWTTT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
10.06.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
07.06.22	Criciúma - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1 ✺
04.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
28.05.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Guarani	2:1 ✺
22.05.22	Cruzeiro - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTWL

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