Match Info

Date: 29 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Marques D. (Bra)


	Vila Nova		Grêmio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	2.95	2.05
	3.9	2.8	2.06
	3.7	2.95	2.09
	4.15	3.04	2.15
	3.8	2.9	2.1
	3.82	3.14	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.08)	2.96 ↓ (3.05)	2.09 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
24.1%

Draw
31.4%

Grêmio
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

30.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

29.6%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.1%	54.1%	37.8%

Vila Nova - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 3 - 8.1%). Grêmio will win (votes: 14 - 37.8%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 54.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38% – 70.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Grêmio will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
19.05.22	Vila Nova - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
14.05.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.05.22	Vila Nova - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
06.05.22	Vila Nova - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
29.04.22	Londrina - Vila Nova	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWT
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
19.05.22	Grêmio - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
16.05.22	Ituano - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Cruzeiro - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Grêmio - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
27.04.22	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLWW

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