The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grêmio 55.8%
Draw 24.9%
Criciúma 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.4%
22.2%
14.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.6%
24.4%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
9.1%
0%
Grêmio - Criciúma Predictions
Users Predictions:
Grêmio will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marchesin A. (G) 18. Joao Pedro 53. Gustavo Martins 30. Rodrigo Caio 6. Reinaldo 20. Villasanti M. (C) 17. Dodi 10. Cristaldo F. 11. Monsalve M. 22. Braithwaite M. 7. Soteldo Y.
1. Gustavo (G) 20. Dudu 3. Rodrigo (C) 29. Figueiredo T. 22. Marcelo Hermes 88. Gustavo Barreto 8. Newton 7. Fellipe Mateus 17. Matheusinho 2. Allano 45. Arthur Caike
Substitutes
16. Aravena A. 9. Arezo M. 19. Costa D. 15. Edenilson 34. Igor Schlemper 45. Lucas Mila 36. Nata 14. Nathan 3. Pedro Geromel 23. Pepe 33. Rafael Cabral (G) 35. Ronald
25. Alisson (G) 27. Claudinho 9. Felipe Vizeu 5. Higor Meritao 50. Jhonata Robert 13. Jonathan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 85. Patrick de Paula 6. Ronald Lopes 32. Teixeira M. (G) 33. Walisson Maia 77. Werik Popo
Coaches
Renato Gaucho
Claudio Tencati
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Arthur Caike ⚽,
17', Monsalve M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Dudu ↓, Claudinho ↑,
53', Newton 🟨,
56', Fellipe Mateus 🟨,
59', Cristaldo F. ↓, Costa D. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Villasanti M. ⚽, Costa D. (A),
72', Matheusinho 🟨,
72', Matheusinho ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
72', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Ronald Lopes ⚽, Arthur Caike (A),
83', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
83', Arthur Caike ↓, Felipe Vizeu ↑,
84', Joao Pedro ↓, Edenilson ↑,
84', Braithwaite M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
84', Monsalve M. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
87', Costa D. 🟨,
87', Walisson Maia 🟨,
90', Dodi ↓, Ronald ↑,
90+7', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2.
Grêmio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Criciúma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Criciúma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Grêmio is a favorite.
There will not play in Grêmio: Andre Henrique
(Injury)
Jhonata Robert
(Injury)
Lucas Mila
(Injury)
Mayk
(Injury)
Pavon C.
(Injury)
Reinaldo
(Injury)
There will not play in Criciúma: Figueiredo T.
(Injury)
Guilherme
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.
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Marchesin A. (G) 
Joao Pedro 
Villasanti M. (C) 
Monsalve M. 
Braithwaite M. 
Soteldo Y. 
Figueiredo T. 
Aravena A. 
Arezo M. 
Costa D. 
