Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	4.4	2.85	1.91
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	4.1	2.85	1.95
	4.21	2.86	2.04
	4	2.88	1.95
	3.85	3.05	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.26)	2.93 ↓ (3)	1.97 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis
22.6%

Draw
31.1%

Vila Nova
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

30.3%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

20.1%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis's form might have worsened.

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vila Nova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio Anápolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio Anápolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.05.21	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	2:2 penalties ✺
04.05.21	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
01.05.21	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Iporá	2:1 ✺
25.04.21	Iporá - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	0:0 ✺
22.04.21	Anápolis - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.3 WWWTL
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.05.21	Aparecidense - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
05.05.21	Vila Nova - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
30.04.21	Vila Nova - Anápolis	3:1 ✺
25.04.21	Anápolis - Vila Nova	0:3 ✺
22.04.21	Jaraguá - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
21.02.20	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Vila Nova	1:0
30.01.20	Vila Nova - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	1:0
10.03.18	Vila Nova - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	2:1

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