Match Info

BRAZIL: GOIANO - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia)


	Aparecidense		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2
	3.62	2.82	2.17
	3.62	2.82	2.17
	3.67	3.02	2.11
	3.7	3	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 (3.6)	2.92 ↓ (3.22)	2.09 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
25.3%

Draw
31.2%

Vila Nova
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28.8%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

28.7%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Aparecidense - Vila Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Henrique (G) 7. Dudu 5. Dyego 9. Ezequiel 25. Genilson 11. Igor Torres 2. Luan Sales 4. Mauricio 10. Robert (C) 6. Rodrigues G. 3. Vanderley	26. Denis Junior (G) 11. Alesson 4. Anderson Conceicao 5. Bruninho 19. Henrique Almeida 7. Igor Bolt 3. Juan Quintero 10. Luciano Naninho 2. Mateus Pivo 8. Ralf (C) 6. Roberto
Substitutes
19. Caique 13. Crystian 18. Diogo 16. Emanuel P. 15. Enzo 17. Marcelinho 12. Matheus Inacio (G) 20. Raphael Luz 14. Robinho 21. Ruan 22. Victor Hugo	14. Eric 20. Estevao 9. Fernandao 18. Fernando Henrique 17. Fillipi S. 15. Joao Victor 70. Juan Christian 13. Kayk 23. Ruan Santos 21. Sandrinho 1. Vitor Hugo (G)

Preview

1st leg.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aparecidense won 1.

Recent matches Aparecidense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vila Nova is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vila Nova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vila Nova will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Aparecidense won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Aparecidense won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
10.03.24	Anápolis - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Aparecidense - Anápolis	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Villa Nova AC - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
25.02.24	Goiânia - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Aparecidense - Goiatuba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWT
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Copa Verde
12.03.24	Vila Nova - Rio Branco AC ES	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.03.24	Vila Nova - Goianésia	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Goianésia - Vila Nova	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Iporá - Vila Nova	1:3 ✺
19.02.24	Vila Nova - Goiânia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
31.01.24	Vila Nova - Aparecidense	3:1
15.02.23	Aparecidense - Vila Nova	0:0
16.02.22	Vila Nova - Aparecidense	2:0
02.02.22	Aparecidense - Vila Nova	2:1
09.05.21	Aparecidense - Vila Nova	0:1
05.05.21	Vila Nova - Aparecidense	1:1
18.04.21	Vila Nova - Aparecidense	2:1

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