Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 12

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Guédiawaye		AJEL de Rufisque

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.62	2.58
	3.2	2.35	2.72
	3.21	2.46	2.72	Watch
	3	2.45	2.6
	3.07	2.59	2.57
	2.9	2.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.96)	2.54 ↓ (2.77)	2.62 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guédiawaye
29.6%

Draw
35.7%

AJEL de Rufisque
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

33.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

33.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guédiawaye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

AJEL de Rufisque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guédiawaye than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Guédiawaye - AJEL de Rufisque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guédiawaye won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AJEL	30	15	9	6	27:19	8	54
13	Guediawaye	30	7	8	15	29:34	-5	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guédiawaye FC
Senegal Ligue 1
11.01.26	Ouakam - Guédiawaye	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Guédiawaye - HLM	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Camberene - Guédiawaye	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Guédiawaye - Casa Sport	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Guédiawaye - Jaraaf	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWWL
- AJEL de Rufisque
Senegal Ligue 1
11.01.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Teungueth	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Stade de Mbour - AJEL de Rufisque	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Wally Daan	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Dakar SC	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ouakam - AJEL de Rufisque	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
04.05.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Guédiawaye	1:1

Guédiawaye - AJEL de Rufisque: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide