Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 19

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Parque del Guairá (Villarrica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Guaireña		Independiente Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.00	2.70
	2.42	2.95	2.7
	2.42	2.96	2.78
	2.5	3.13	2.86	Watch
	2.35	2.9	2.75
	2.52	3.36	2.68
	2.43	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.45)	3.04 ↓ (3.28)	2.74 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
37.2%

Draw
29.7%

Independiente Asuncion
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.8%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Guaireña have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Guaireña - Independiente Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Espinola R. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Heinze J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 1 - 2, Roa R. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).

Recent form of Guaireña has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Independiente FBC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaireña won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Guaireña won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Independiente FBC	27	10	10	7	40:35	5	40
14	Guairena	27	6	7	14	22:36	-14	25

Last Results with these Odds

Guaireña - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.18%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
10.08.26	Tacuary - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Guaireña - Atlético Tembetary	0:0 ✺
27.07.26	Benjamín Aceval - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaireña	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Guaireña - 12 de Junio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTLL
- Independiente Asuncion
Copa Paraguay
11.08.26	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
02.08.26	Sol de América - Independiente Asuncion	1:1 ✺
28.07.26	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Paraguarí - Independiente Asuncion	3:2 ✺
13.07.26	Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
26.04.26	Independiente Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0
09.08.25	Guaireña - Independiente Asuncion	4:2
03.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0
13.07.24	Guaireña - Independiente Asuncion	2:1
03.11.19	Independiente Asuncion - Guaireña	1:0

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