Match Info

Date: 18 July 2021, Sunday


	Gualaceo		Atlético Porteño

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.75
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.74	3.56	5.24
	1.72	3.3	4.33
	1.69	3.66	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.12)	3.43 ↑ (3)	4.7 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
53.8%

Draw
26.7%

Atlético Porteño
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

20.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gualaceo's performance.

Atlético Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Porteño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gualaceo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porteño than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Gualaceo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gualaceo is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gualaceo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gualaceo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
14.07.21	Chacaritas - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
11.07.21	Gualaceo - Búhos ULVR	2:0 ✺
08.07.21	Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo	1:3 ✺
03.07.21	Atlético Santo Domingo - Gualaceo	1:4 ✺
28.06.21	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWWL
- Atlético Porteño
Ecuadorian Serie B
14.07.21	Atlético Porteño - América de Quito	2:1 ✺
11.07.21	Atlético Porteño - Chacaritas	2:1 ✺
08.07.21	LDU Portoviejo - Atlético Porteño	0:2 ✺
04.07.21	Atlético Porteño - Búhos ULVR	4:1 ✺
27.06.21	Atlético Santo Domingo - Atlético Porteño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
25.05.21	Atlético Porteño - Gualaceo	3:1
24.03.21	Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño	3:0
16.10.20	Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño	1:1
30.08.20	Atlético Porteño - Gualaceo	2:1
19.10.19	Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño	2:1
01.09.19	Atlético Porteño - Gualaceo	1:0
09.06.19	Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño	1:2

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