The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chacaritas 28.6%
Draw 27%
Gualaceo 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
26.6%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
25.9%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Chacaritas - Gualaceo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Valencia K. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Mina G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).
Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Gualaceo is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Gualaceo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Gualaceo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.7:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Chacaritas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).