Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jorge Andrade (Azogues)

Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)


	Gualaceo		Técnico Universitario

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3	2.35
	2.7	3.3	2.3
	3	3.12	2.57
	2.8	3	2.45
	2.85	3.24	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.55)	3.14 ↓ (3.26)	2.46 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
32.8%

Draw
29.5%

Técnico Universitario
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Gualaceo - Técnico Universitario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Técnico Universitario could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gualaceo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gualaceo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.03.23	LDU Quito - Gualaceo	6:1 ✺
17.03.23	Gualaceo - Orense	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Mushuc Runa - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Gualaceo - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.23	Gualaceo - Libertad Loja	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLWT
- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.04.23	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0 ✺
19.03.23	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	El Nacional - Técnico Universitario	3:2 ✺
26.02.23	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.23	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.08.22	Gualaceo - Técnico Universitario	0:3
08.04.22	Técnico Universitario - Gualaceo	1:1

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