Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 27

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Técnico Universitario		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.10	3.00	Watch
	2.25	2.90	2.95
	2.33	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.39	3.00	3.48
	2.28	2.98	3.45	Watch
	2.35	2.90	3.35
	2.48	3.14	2.89	Watch
	2.29	2.95	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)	3 ↓ (3.1)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Técnico Universitario
39.8%

Draw
30.9%

Deportivo Cuenca
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.2%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

29%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Deportivo Cuenca (2.30) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Morales A. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 85. Arce Y. 13. Anaya J. 4. Cordova 70. Castano M. 33. Majao J. 29. Cela A. 25. Delgado B. 8. Armas D. (C) 10. Johan Bocanegra	1. Ferrero F. (G) 25. Lopez A. 28. Boolsen P. 6. Postel S. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 19. Diaz M. 30. Maccari M. 49. Gonzalez D. 37. Arboleda C. 88. Benalcazar C.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 90. Caicedo W. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 53. Chilla R. 77. Garcia C. 5. Mena S. 14. Ona B. 1. Razzeto S. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.	14. Chacon J. 23. Guevara E. 10. Ibarra R. 99. Jimenez M. 16. Mejia J. 22. Mendez J. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 5. Noboa D. 43. Ordonez J. 11. Rivero G. 21. Solis J. 15. Solis Jaramillo M. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Mancinelli L. (Penalty Awarded),
28', 1 - 1, Armas D. ⚽, Delgado B. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Johan Bocanegra ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 3 - 1, Majao J. ⚽,
55', Benalcazar C. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
58', Cela A. ↓, Arce K. ↑,
68', Diaz M. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
68', Lopez A. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
69', Majao J. 🟨,
72', Arce Y. ↓, Chilla R. ↑,
72', Castano M. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
76', Maccari M. 🟨,
80', Gonzalez D. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
80', Erique Villigua Y. H. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
83', Mejia J. 🟨,
90', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
90', Majao J. ↓, Mena S. ↑,
90+2', Morales A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Técnico Univ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Guayaquil City	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario	5:0 ✺
25.07.26	Técnico Universitario - Manta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.08.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Manta	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	2:1
14.09.25	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	0:2
16.05.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	2:0
05.10.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	1:1
17.04.24	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1
28.08.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	1:1
02.04.23	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0

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