Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 11

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jorge Andrade (Azogues)

Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)


	Gualaceo		Libertad Loja

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.07	3.2	3.5
	2.2	3.18	3.63
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.09	3.4	3.48	Watch
	2.16	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.82)	3.2 ↓ (3.44)	3.44 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
43.9%

Draw
29.1%

Libertad Loja
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.7%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

26%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gualaceo's form might have worsened.

Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gualaceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gualaceo - Libertad Loja Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gualaceo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gualaceo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gualaceo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gualaceo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.05.23	SD Aucas - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Gualaceo - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Gualaceo	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Gualaceo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWL
- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.05.23	Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Guayaquil City - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Libertad Loja - Orense	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	El Nacional - Libertad Loja	4:2 ✺
14.04.23	Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.02.23	Gualaceo - Libertad Loja	2:2
15.02.23	Libertad Loja - Gualaceo	1:0

Upcoming Matches