Match Info

Liga Pro - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ecuador	15:30	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	15:30	Zapping Sports


	Técnico Universitario		Mushuc Runa

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.20	3.00	Watch
	2.30	3.00	2.80
	2.62	3	2.62	Watch
	2.71	3.25	2.78
	2.64	3.14	2.73	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.7
	2.68	3.03	2.73	Watch
	2.6	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.69)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	2.75 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Técnico Universitario
36.3%

Draw
30%

Mushuc Runa
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.2%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Morales A. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 53. Chilla R. 13. Anaya J. 85. Arce Y. 10. Johan Bocanegra 70. Castano M. 33. Majao J. 25. Delgado B. 7. Estupinan L. 8. Armas D. (C)	25. Formento R. (C) 26. Peralta K. 4. Biojo R. 2. Flor F. 33. Hernandez J. 19. Corozo B. 5. Davila E. 8. Zambrano A. 11. Bazan N. 99. Angulo C. 28. Perea M.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 90. Caicedo W. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 29. Cela A. 4. Cordova 79. Cuero Q. C. A. 9. Guardia H. 5. Mena S. 14. Ona B. 1. Razzeto S. (G)	14. Caicedo E. 61. Caicedo J. 30. Carabali F. 50. Cusme J. 53. Figueroa J. 18. Gonzalez J. 23. Lemos L. 37. Mancilla Quinones J. L. 52. Merino D. 10. Mina F. 42. Pabon W. (G) 9. Tufino R.
Coaches
Blanco I.	Velez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Delgado B. ⚽, Estupinan L. (A),
31', Pasquetta F. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Estupinan L. ⚽, Delgado B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zambrano A. ↓, Mina F. ↑,
50', Corozo B. 🟨,
53', 3 - 0, Armas D. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Mina F. 🟥,
65', Delgado B. ↓, Cuero Q. C. A. ↑,
67', Peralta K. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
67', Bazan N. ↓, Tufino R. ↑,
73', Corozo B. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
73', Davila E. ↓, Lemos L. ↑,
77', Arce Y. ↓, Mena S. ↑,
77', Estupinan L. ↓, Caicedo W. ↑,
80', Angulo C. 🟨,
88', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Guardia H. ↑,
89', Armas D. ↓, Cela A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 1.

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Mushuc Runa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Técnico Univ has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:22 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Técnico Univ against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:15 goals (averaging 1.2:1.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.10.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Leones del Norte - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTWL
- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.10.26	Mushuc Runa - Orense	1:1 ✺
09.10.26	Delfín - Mushuc Runa	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Guayaquil City - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
07.09.26	Mushuc Runa - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	0:3
18.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	1:0
22.11.25	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	1:0
01.11.25	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	0:0
27.07.25	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	0:1
06.04.25	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	1:1
30.09.24	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	2:2

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