The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guanacasteca 44.5%
Draw 29.3%
San Carlos 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
28.7%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
28%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guanacasteca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guanacasteca's performance.
San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Carlos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guanacasteca than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guanacasteca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Carlos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Guanacasteca - San Carlos Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Guanacasteca will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). San Carlos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lajud G. (G) 20. Leal P. 19. Smith R. 5. Molina Y. 14. Mendez G. 8. Olivero J. 22. Mora J. 27. Matarrita J. 88. Matarrita S. 10. Cordoba J. 9. Venegas J. (C)
1. Lezcano A. (G) 3. Berkeley K. 18. Peraza J. 6. Piedra Y. 16. Castillo G. 20. Azofeifa W. (C) 21. Orellano L. 10. Chirino R. 29. Villan U. Y. M. 31. Hernandez E. 9. Martinez B.
Substitutes
21. Brown J. 28. Forvis E. D. (G) 11. Mauricio G. 6. Morales J. 2. Morera P. 30. Porras J. A. 17. Rodriguez N.
39. Cruz E. 19. McDonald J. 28. Mendez J. 30. Rosales J. 7. Soto A. 23. Vega J. (G) 8. Villalba L.
Coaches
Diaz M.
Castro R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
11', Chirino R. 🟨,
31', Cordoba J. ↓, Porras J. A. ↑,
35', 0 - 1, Molina Y. (Own goal),
42', 0 - 2, Martinez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Leal P. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
52', Matarrita J. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
54', Porras J. A. 🟨,
63', Matarrita S. ↓, Morera P. ↑,
65', Rodriguez N. 🟨,
70', Chirino R. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
70', Orellano L. ↓, Cruz E. ↑,
77', Martinez B. ↓, McDonald J. ↑,
77', Azofeifa W. ↓, Villalba L. ↑,
78', Castillo G. 🟨,
88', Castillo G. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 1.
Guanacasteca is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches San Carlos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Carlos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:15 (average 0.7:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Guanacasteca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.5:0.8).
Costa-rica
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Lajud G. (G) 
Leal P. 
Berkeley K. 
Piedra Y. 
Orellano L. 
Villan U. Y. M. 
Forvis E. D. (G) 
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