Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno (Liberia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Mexico	FOX Sports 3
North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
World	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+


	Guanacasteca		Real Estelí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3	2
	2.89	3.15	2.2
	3.66	3.29	1.96	Watch
	3.6	3.22	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (4.6)	3.17 ↓ (3.47)	2.03 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guanacasteca
26.9%

Draw
28.6%

Real Estelí
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

26.2%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

26.2%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guanacasteca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guanacasteca's performance.

Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Estelí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guanacasteca than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guanacasteca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Estelí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Guanacasteca - Real Estelí Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guanacasteca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Real Estelí will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, Venegas J. ⚽,

Preview

Real Estelí is Qualified for CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Guanacasteca is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Estelí is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guanacasteca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Real Estelí have a series of home games.

In this match Real Estelí is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Guanacasteca
CONCACAF Central American Cup
21.08.24	Guanacasteca - Managua	1:1 ✺
15.08.24	Municipal - Guanacasteca	3:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
10.08.24	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	1:3 ✺
03.08.24	Sporting San José - Guanacasteca	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
31.07.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Guanacasteca	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLTL
- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
24.08.24	Real Estelí - Deportivo Ocotal	3:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.08.24	Real Estelí - Deportivo Saprissa	2:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
17.08.24	Real Estelí - Matagalpa	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
14.08.24	Real Estelí - Managua	3:0 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
11.08.24	Walter Ferretti - Real Estelí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTWW

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