Match Info

COSTA RICA: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ebal Rodriguez Aguilar (Guápiles)

Referee: Pineda B. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	Tigo Sports


	San Carlos		Santa Ana

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.8	3.8
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	1.99	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2	3.3	4.27
	2.1	2.97	3.95	Watch
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.15	2.87	3.9	Watch
	1.99	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.94)	3.04 ↓ (3.31)	3.77 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Carlos
44.9%

Draw
30.5%

Santa Ana
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

28%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Santa Ana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

San Carlos - Santa Ana Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. San Carlos will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Santa Ana will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Ana: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezcano A. (G) 2. Rivera R. 12. Sanchez D. 18. Peraza J. 6. Piedra Y. 8. Villalba L. 20. Azofeifa W. (C) 29. Villan U. Y. M. 28. Mendez J. 10. Chirino R. 99. Martinez B.	1. Pemberton P. (C) 2. Lopez L. 24. Meneses Salazar M. J. 6. Madrigal J. 15. Chevez A. 14. Russell M. 19. Castro G. 21. Juarez F. 39. Villalobos M. 8. Condega J. 33. Casado E.
Substitutes
39. Cruz E. 4. Fonseca P. 31. Hernandez E. 19. McDonald J. 21. Orellano L. 26. Rojas O. 23. Vega J. (G)	70. Astua B. 44. Bonilla J. 17. Camareno J. 95. Nixon Guylherme 35. Rojas D. (G)
Coaches
Castro R.	Salomon C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Condega J. 🟨,
33', Lopez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Chirino R. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
64', Casado E. ↓, Nixon Guylherme ↑,
66', Piedra Y. 🟨,
71', Condega J. ↓, Bonilla J. ↑,
76', Russell M. ↓, Camareno J. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Castro G. ⚽,
77', Sanchez D. ↓, McDonald J. ↑,
77', Villalba L. ↓, Cruz E. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Azofeifa W. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 11).

San Carlos is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Santa Ana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Ana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

San Carlos will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Carlos won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:6 (average 3.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams San Carlos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD San Carlos
Costa Rican Primera Division
09.03.25	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	San Carlos - Municipal Liberia	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Herediano - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	San Carlos - Puntarenas FC	0:1 ✺
07.02.25	Pérez Zeledón - San Carlos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- AD Santa Ana
Costa Rican Primera Division
09.03.25	Santa Ana - Pérez Zeledón	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Santa Ana - Herediano	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Guanacasteca - Santa Ana	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Santa Ana - Deportivo Saprissa	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Cartagines - Santa Ana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
01.02.25	Santa Ana - San Carlos	2:2
27.09.24	Santa Ana - San Carlos	3:4
10.08.24	San Carlos - Santa Ana	5:1

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