Match Info

Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 27

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Huadu Stadium (Guangzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Guangdong Mingtu		Lanzhou Longyuan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	3.05	2.85
	1.60	3.54	5.73	Watch
	2.64	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.18)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)	3.6 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong Mingtu
42.1%

Draw
30.9%

Lanzhou Longyuan
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Guangdong Mingtu - Lanzhou Longyuan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Pang Jiajun (G) 49. Li T. 4. Peng Jiahao 5. Zheng Zhiming 52. Zhong W. 15. Chen Rijin 55. Pan N. 21. Huang Guangliang (C) 66. Gu Zhiwei 67. Tang Tianyi 42. He J.	13. Mu Qianyu (C) 3. Zhou Ziang 19. Chen Zitong 20. Xie Hongyu 46. Chen Yu 15. Mijit M. 39. Chen Kerui 11. Tai Jianfeng 6. Liu Yang 57. Lu J. 27. Liu Y.
Substitutes
45. Chen L. 60. Huang W. 61. Huang Yikai 59. Li J. (G) 9. Li Ming 20. Liu Ziheng 53. Pan B. 8. Wen Y. 65. Xin Hongjun 47. Xu Q. 51. Yao H. 50. Zhao C.	5. Abdukerim O. 16. Chen Yanxin 26. Mei Jingxuan 33. Muhtar Ular 28. Sun Xu 47. Yang Shengming 1. Zhang Jihao (G) 52. Zhong Weihong 43. Zhou Yan
Coaches
Larrinoa I.	Yu Yuanwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, He J. ⚽, Peng Jiahao (A),
26', 1 - 1, Mijit M. ⚽, Chen Kerui (A),
36', Pan N. 🟨,
37', Lu J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tang Tianyi ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
46', Zhong W. ↓, Huang Yikai ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Mijit M. ⚽,
64', Gu Zhiwei ↓, Xin Hongjun ↑,
64', Chen Rijin ↓, Yao H. ↑,
65', Pan N. ↓, Li Ming ↑,
66', Huang Guangliang 🟨,
70', Chen Zitong ↓, Chen Yanxin ↑,
70', Liu Yang ↓, Zhong Weihong ↑,
73', Pan N. ↓, Zhao C. ↑,
80', Liu Y. ↓, Muhtar Ular ↑,
90+1', Lu J. ↓, Abdukerim O. ↑,
90+1', Chen Kerui ↓, Sun Xu ↑,
90+2', Mu Qianyu 🟨,
90+4', Tai Jianfeng ↓, Yang Shengming ↑,
90+7', Zhou Ziang 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League
20.09.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Hubei Istar	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Shanghai Port B - Guangdong Mingtu	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangdong Mingtu	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Guangxi Lanhang - Guangdong Mingtu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWLW
- Lanzhou Longyuan
Chinese Yi League
20.09.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Quanzhou Yassin	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Wenzhou Professional - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangdong Mingtu	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Beijing Institute of Technology	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
22.08.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangdong Mingtu	3:0

Guangdong Mingtu - Lanzhou Longyuan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide