Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Guangxi Sports Center (Nanning)


	Guangxi Hengchen		Dalian Young Boy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.75	4.75	1.28
	14.06	5.59	1.16
	17	5.8	1.14
	16.5	5.85	1.18	Watch
	19	5.2	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.06 ↑ (6.34)	5.44 ↑ (4.38)	1.19 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Hengchen
6.1%

Draw
16.8%

Dalian Young Boy
77.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

20.9%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

21.3%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangxi Hengchen's form might have worsened.

Dalian Young Boy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalian Young Boy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalian Young Boy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guangxi Hengchen - Dalian Young Boy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Yan P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Zhang Xiao ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Guo Z. ⚽,

Preview

Guangxi Hengchen in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dalian Young Boy is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Dalian Young Boy is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Yi League
11.05.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Shanghai Port B	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Kunming City	3:1 ✺
16.04.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Quanzhou Yassin	5:1 ✺
10.04.24	Hunan Billows - Guangxi Hengchen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWWW
- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
11.05.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Dalian Young Boy	0:3 ✺
04.05.24	Dalian Young Boy - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dalian Young Boy	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Dalian Young Boy - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Dalian Young Boy - Liaoning Tieren	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTWW

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