Match Info

Yi League - Round 11

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Guangxi Sports Center (Nanning)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Guangxi Hengchen		Kunming City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	3.8	7.75
	1.41	3.8	8
	1.4	3.88	7.94
	1.41	3.86	8.4
	1.38	3.78	9.1
	1.41	3.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	3.82 ↑ (3.8)	8.2 ↑ (7.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Hengchen
65.1%

Draw
23.8%

Kunming City
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

24%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

22.3%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Kunming City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guangxi Hengchen - Kunming City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Shen Bokai (G) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 27. Zhang Zijian 3. Yuan X. 18. Wei Chaolun 8. Wang H. 7. Gao Yixuan 42. Ji Tianle 17. Zhang Huajun 11. Fei Ernanduo	23. Chen Anqi (G) 13. Yao Zhiyu 2. Ou L. 6. Ablimit Subi 26. Bi Haoyang 8. Hu H. 10. Cao Enze 24. Song X. 30. Zhang J. 42. Sun Z. 27. Yang H.
Substitutes
19. Cen Liyi 47. Chen D. 45. Dai Jiatong (G) 4. Fang Zhengyang 33. Feng Yifan 23. Guo Z. 58. Huang Y. 56. Ji X. 16. Ning W. 25. Ren K. 15. Wang Tianqing 29. Yao Zixuan	11. Adiljan Qeyser 47. Gong Z. 1. Hao Kesen (G) 5. Tang Daozheng 9. Tuyghun J. 3. Wang S. 45. Zhang F.
Coaches
Liu Junwei	Weiss M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', Hu H. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Gao Yixuan (A),
44', 2 - 0, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Zhang Huajun (A),
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Ou L. ↓, Adiljan Qeyser ↑,
46', Zhang J. ↓, Wang S. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Wei Chaolun (A),
66', 4 - 0, Gao Yixuan ⚽, Li S. (A),
68', 5 - 0, Fei Ernanduo ⚽,
72', 6 - 0, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Luan H. (A),
73', Zhang Huajun ↓, Ning W. ↑,
73', Ji Tianle ↓, Chen D. ↑,
73', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Huang Y. ↑,
75', Cao Enze ↓, Tang Daozheng ↑,
75', Song X. ↓, Tuyghun J. ↑,
79', Wei Chaolun ↓, Feng Yifan ↑,
84', 7 - 0, Huang Y. ⚽, Chen D. (A),
85', Sun Z. ↓, Gong Z. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Guangxi Hengchen is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kunming City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guangxi Hengchen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Guangxi Hengchen will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guangxi Hengchen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Guangxi Hengchen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese FA Cup
20.05.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
Chinese Yi League
16.05.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen	1:3 ✺
11.05.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Wenzhou Professional	3:0 ✺
07.05.25	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangxi Hengchen	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Hengchen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWWW
- Kunming City FC
Chinese Yi League
17.05.25	Kunming City - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Kunming City - Wuhan Three Towns B	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Kunming City	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Kunming City - Shenzhen	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Kunming City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
06.07.24	Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1
28.04.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Kunming City	3:1

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