Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 10

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Ruichang Sports Park Stadium (Jiujiang)


	Jiangxi Lushan		Dalian Young Boy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.4	3.25	2	Watch
	4.09	3.54	1.85
	3.72	3.36	2.01
	4.33	3.3	1.73
	3.74	3.22	1.99	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (6.41)	3.31 ↓ (3.73)	1.91 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
24.2%

Draw
27.8%

Dalian Young Boy
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

24.8%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

24.1%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jiangxi Lushan's performance.

Dalian Young Boy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalian Young Boy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jiangxi Lushan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalian Young Boy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Ma Kunyue (G) 26. Zhang Xiang 4. Zhu Mingxin 17. Xu Dongdong 24. Du Junpeng (C) 10. Willie 6. Song Ziwenhao 16. Hu Jiaqi 13. Zhang Yanjun 33. Kang Zhenjie 11. Brown T.	1. Ge Peng (G) 2. Zhang Zhen 4. Zhao Xuebin 5. Jin Pengxiang 6. Robson 22. Mao W. 18. He Xiaoqiang 29. Sun B. 21. Lu Peng 39. Yan Xiangchuang (C) 9. Yan P.
Substitutes
44. Abdukerim Qaharman 19. Chen Junxu (G) 20. Cui Hao 18. Faye M. 12. Han Zhen (G) 35. Li Jiahao 32. Nihmat Nihat 22. Song Jian 25. Wang Hongbin 7. Wu Linfeng 8. Xie Weichao 23. Yao Zixuan	23. 23 8. Geping Q. 14. Li Z. 38. Lu Zhuoyi 12. Wang Shengbo 20. Wang Shixin 31. Wu Xinze 25. Xiao Zhiren (G) 24. Yuan H. 33. Zhang H. 26. Zhongkai C. 16. Zhu P.
Coaches
Yue S.	Li G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Du Junpeng 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Yan Xiangchuang (Pen),
21', Zhang Xiang ↓, Wu Linfeng ↑,
27', Zhang Zhen 🟨,
45+2', Wu Linfeng 🟨,
45+2', Sun B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Xu Dongdong ↓, Abdukerim Qaharman ↑,
63', Zhao Xuebin ↓, Zhu P. ↑,
68', Du Junpeng 🟨,
69', 0 - 2, Sun B. ⚽,
75', 0 - 3, Yan P. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Jiangxi Lushan has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dalian Young Boy is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dalian Young Boy is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
05.05.24	Nanjing City - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao Red Lions	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Jiangxi Lushan	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Yunnan Yukun	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTL
- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
04.05.24	Dalian Young Boy - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dalian Young Boy	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Dalian Young Boy - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Dalian Young Boy - Liaoning Tieren	3:2 ✺
05.04.24	Foshan Nanshi - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWT

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