Match Info

Jia League - Round 18

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Dalian Kun City		Qingdao Red Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.49	3.75	5.7	Watch
	1.51	3.92	6.68
	1.66	3.52	5.25	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.5
	1.47	3.74	6.61	Watch
	1.43	4.1	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.43)	3.7 ↓ (4.2)	5.79 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kun City
59.5%

Draw
24.7%

Qingdao Red Lions
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

21.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.3%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dalian Kun City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dalian Kun City - Qingdao Red Lions Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dalian Kun City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Fan Jinming (G) 24. Musa S. I. 8. Wu Y. 6. Song Zhiwei 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 32. Song Chen 39. Lei Wenjie 41. Deng Chunze 26. Cui Ming'an 31. Dominic Vinicius 30. Mushekwi N.	32. Liu Shibo (G) 30. Zhou Jianyi 2. Song Bowei 25. Pan Kui 4. Zhao Chengle 23. Zhang Liang 39. Yao Xuchen 20. Nie Aoshuang 7. Nobrega J. 10. Leandro Alves 9. Rivaldinho
Substitutes
17. Chen Jiaqi 20. Chen Rong 28. Cui Hao 21. Ge Hailun 15. Ji Zhengyu 5. Lin Longchang 19. Lu C. 1. Ma Kunyue (G) 9. Ning F. 33. Sun Weijia 2. Wei Lai 10. Zhu Shiyu	15. Hao Yucheng 22. Iskandar B. 29. Liu Xiaoqi 18. Li Ya'nan (G) 36. Lu K. 40. Pi Ziyang 24. Song Runtong 11. Sun Xipeng 13. Tao Yuan 16. Zhang Yixuan 6. Zheng Haokun 1. Zhu Quan (G)
Coaches
Cespedes O.	Castro F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Zhang Liang 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Leandro Alves ⚽, Rivaldinho (A),
66', Lei Wenjie ↓, Chen Rong ↑,
66', Deng Chunze ↓, Sun Weijia ↑,
69', Yao Xuchen ↓, Sun Xipeng ↑,
69', Zhou Jianyi ↓, Hao Yucheng ↑,
69', Song Bowei ↓, Lu K. ↑,
78', Leandro Alves ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Cui Ming'an ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Cui Ming'an ⚽, Mushekwi N. (A),
85', Pan Kui ↓, Song Runtong ↑,
90+2', Dominic Vinicius ↓, Chen Jiaqi ↑,
90+2', Cui Ming'an ↓, Cui Hao ↑,
90+4', Zhao Chengle ↓, Zhang Yixuan ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Dalian Kun City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Qingdao Red Lions has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dalian Kun City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dalian Kun City is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dalian Kun City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League
18.07.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Dalian Kun City	2:2 ✺
13.07.25	Dalian Kun City - Nanjing City	3:1 ✺
05.07.25	Dalian Kun City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	3:1 ✺
28.06.25	Shaanxi Union - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.25	Dalian Kun City - Qingdao West Coast	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWLL
- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
19.07.25	Yanbian Longding - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:4 ✺
05.07.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shenzhen Juniors	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Qingdao Red Lions	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
05.04.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Dalian Kun City	0:0

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