The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nanjing City 58.1%
Draw 25.5%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
26.2%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
19.9%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Pingguo Haliao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Nanjing City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Predictions
Users Predictions:
Nanjing City will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Qi Yuxi (G) 25. Kaitijiang X. 18. Dong Honglin (C) 22. Meng Zhen 7. Guo Yi 24. Du Junpeng 27. Zheng Xuejian 39. Yu Menghui 2. Wang Xijie 10. Ogbu M. 42. Lupeta J.
22. He Lipan (C) 2. Ning An 35. Zhu Yue 45. Huang Wei 4. Feng Yifan 36. Yang Minjie 8. Hu Jiajin 32. You Wenjie 10. Asamoah S. 39. Lu Chenghe 38. Zhang Wei
Substitutes
16. Ding Yunfeng 17. Fu Yuncheng 5. Isic T. 45. Ji Xiang 3. Li Mingfan 9. Ling Jie 28. Xi Anjie (G) 8. Yang Dejiang 36. Yuan H. 38. Zhang Hui 31. Zhu Qiwen
19. Chen Quanjiang 28. Chen Shaohao 25. Chen Shihao 43. Cheukoua M. 33. Ding Quancheng 44. Fan Chao 29. Fu Shang 20. Jiang Zhengjie 13. Wang Jinshuai (G) 27. Wei Guoren 17. Yang Jingfan 16. Zhang Zili
Coaches
Zhang X.
Maeda K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Feng Yifan 🟨,
30', Meng Zhen 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Lu Chenghe ⚽,
44', Yang Minjie 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ning An ↓, Chen Quanjiang ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Wang Xijie ⚽, Yu Menghui (A),
55', Zheng Xuejian ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
55', Wang Xijie ↓, Isic T. ↑,
56', Hu Jiajin ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
56', Lu Chenghe ↓, Cheukoua M. ↑,
64', Dong Honglin 🟨,
70', Yu Menghui ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
70', Guo Yi ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
75', Dong Honglin ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
78', Huang Wei ↓, Wei Guoren ↑,
79', Chen Quanjiang 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Lupeta J. ⚽, Isic T. (A),
90', Zhang Wei ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
90+4', Lupeta J. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 2.
In recent matches, Nanjing City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guangxi has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Nanjing City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Nanjing City is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Nanjing City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).