Match Info

Jia League - Round 15

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Red Lions		Shenzhen Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.15	3	3.15	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3.28
				Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.13	3.2	3.16	Watch
	2.08	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.08)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)	3.14 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
42%

Draw
28.9%

Shenzhen Juniors
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.4%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.6%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Qingdao Red Lions - Shenzhen Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Li Ya'nan (C) 15. Hao Yucheng 23. Zhang Liang 20. Nie Aoshuang 16. Zhang Yixuan 40. Pi Ziyang 30. Zhou Jianyi 7. Nobrega J. 11. Sun Xipeng 10. Leandro Alves 2. Song Bowei	23. Cheng Yuelei (C) 45. Huang K. 27. Zhao S. 10. Xie Baoxian 16. Zhou Xin 14. Huang Jiajun 18. Shi Yucheng 28. Li Yingjian 38. Nouble J. 29. Lin Zefeng 36. Lin F.
Substitutes
27. Cao Kaidi 22. Iskandar B. 8. Jia Xiaochen 5. Liu Pujin 29. Liu Xiaoqi 36. Lu K. 19. Ren Lihao 24. Song Runtong 13. Tao Yuan 21. Zeng Yi (G) 6. Zheng Haokun 1. Zhu Quan (G)	21. Chen Y. 25. Gao J. 4. Gao K. 7. Han Guanghui 17. Hu Ming 6. Liang Rifu 11. Lu J. 9. Nzuzi Mata K. 19. Su Yuliang 1. Wang Shihan (G) 35. Zeng Y. 22. Zhong Junze
Coaches
Castro F.	Zhang Jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Zhao S. 🟨,
27', Zhou Xin 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Nouble J. ⚽, Zhao S. (A),
45', Xie Baoxian 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lin F. ↓, Hu Ming ↑,
46', Lin Zefeng ↓, Lu J. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Zhou Xin ⚽, Xie Baoxian (A),
57', Hao Yucheng ↓, Lu K. ↑,
57', Pi Ziyang ↓, Song Runtong ↑,
68', Nouble J. ↓, Nzuzi Mata K. ↑,
68', Xie Baoxian ↓, Chen Y. ↑,
70', Hu Ming 🟨,
71', Song Bowei ↓, Jia Xiaochen ↑,
72', Zhou Jianyi ↓, Iskandar B. ↑,
72', Shi Yucheng ↓, Liang Rifu ↑,
83', Zhao S. ↓, Gao K. ↑,
85', Song Runtong 🟨,
87', Sun Xipeng 🟨,
90+6', Leandro Alves 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 10).

Qingdao Red Lions is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Shenzhen Juniors has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Qingdao Red Lions might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qingdao Red Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
29.06.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Qingdao Red Lions	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shaanxi Union	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
26.05.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTLL
- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Jia League
28.06.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Juniors	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	4:0 ✺
01.06.25	Shaanxi Union - Shenzhen Juniors	3:2 ✺
26.05.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
17.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Qingdao Red Lions	1:2

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