Match Info

Jia League - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Pingguo Stadium (Pingguo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Shijiazhuang Gongfu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.65	3.25	1.93	Watch
	3.7	3.45	1.98
	3.69	3.42	1.99	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.1
	3.76	3.15	1.94	Watch
	3.65	3.25	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.37)	3.22 ↓ (3.26)	1.98 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
25.4%

Draw
28.4%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.2%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

27.9%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangxi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. He Lipan (C) 20. Jiang Zhengjie 5. Yao Diran 28. Chen Shaohao 39. Lu Chenghe 33. Ding Quancheng 17. Yang Jingfan 10. Asamoah S. 8. Hu Jiajin 7. Zhang Ran 9. Mateus	22. Lin Xiang (G) 39. Xu Junchi 36. Yang Yun 19. Liu H. (C) 14. Ma Chongchong 27. Gao Huaze 33. Dankler 10. An Yifei 8. Ayovi J. 11. Zhu Haiwei 9. Olavio
Substitutes
19. Chen Quanjiang 25. Chen Shihao 23. Han Zhen (G) 45. Huang Wei 24. Jin Jian 11. Liu Hao 30. Wang Lingke 18. Yang Hang 14. Yao Younan 3. Zhang Hui 31. Zhang Song 16. Zhang Zili	6. Chen Zhexuan 2. Deng Jiajie 20. Liu Le 7. Liu Ziming 1. Nie Xuran (G) 4. Pan Kui 29. Wang Jingbin 15. Xiao Junlong 35. Yang Zhaohui 24. Yu Joy-yin 21. Zhan Sainan 45. Zhao Z.
Coaches
Maeda K.	Zhang Hui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
29', Zhu Haiwei 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Olavio ⚽, Ayovi J. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Yang Jingfan ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Dankler ⚽, Xu Junchi (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hu Jiajin ↓, Chen Shihao ↑,
59', Yao Diran 🟨,
61', Zhu Haiwei ↓, Liu Ziming ↑,
61', 1 - 3, Liu H. ⚽,
62', Yang Jingfan ↓, Yang Hang ↑,
70', Chen Shaohao 🟨,
71', An Yifei ↓, Chen Zhexuan ↑,
72', Gao Huaze ↓, Yu Joy-yin ↑,
74', 1 - 4, Liu Ziming ⚽, Yu Joy-yin (A),
75', Ma Chongchong ↓, Liu Le ↑,
75', Ayovi J. ↓, Zhao Z. ↑,
78', Mateus ↓, Zhang Hui ↑,
79', Ding Quancheng ↓, Chen Quanjiang ↑,
83', Liu Ziming 🟨,
90+2', Olavio ↓, Deng Jiajie ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangxi won 1.

Guangxi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Guangxi has had a series of away games.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guangxi won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guangxi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
03.05.25	Dalian Kun City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Dingnan United - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:2 ✺
23.04.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.04.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLWL
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
04.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Shaanxi Union - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.04.25	Taian Tiankuang - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
24.08.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0
06.04.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1
13.09.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0
03.06.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0
26.06.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0
08.06.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0
Chinese Yi League
04.11.21	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	3:1

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