Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)


	Beijing Guoan		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	13	Watch
	1.22	5.75	11
	1.2	6	12.5
	1.21	5.8	12
	1.21	6.34	13.92
	1.2	5.25	13
	1.2	6.2	13.25	Watch
	1.21	5.8	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	5.89 ↑ (4.94)	12.58 ↑ (8.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
76.9%

Draw
15.8%

Guangzhou Evergrande
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

18.8%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

17.9%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

Beijing Guoan - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Beijing Guoan has the most likely position - 2 (100%), has project points - 70, has currently - 70, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, has not chance of win league.

Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beijing Guoan won 1.

Beijing Guoan is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Beijing Guoan is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Beijing Guoan to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Beijing Guoan won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 15-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Beijing Guoan won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
24.10.22	Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	3:3 ✺
05.10.22	Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Dalian Pro - Beijing Guoan	2:2 ✺
14.09.22	Beijing Guoan - Hebei CFFC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTWTW
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Super League
24.10.22	Shandong Taishan - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Meizhou Hakka	1:3 ✺
05.10.22	Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
13.09.22	Guangzhou City - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
26.12.21	Guangzhou Evergrande - Beijing Guoan	1:0
13.12.21	Beijing Guoan - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0
02.11.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Beijing Guoan	3:1
28.10.20	Beijing Guoan - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0
11.08.19	Beijing Guoan - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:3
04.05.19	Guangzhou Evergrande - Beijing Guoan	0:1
14.09.18	Guangzhou Evergrande - Beijing Guoan	1:0

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