The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guangzhou City 3.1%
Draw 9.4%
Shanghai Port 87.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.7%
23.1%
59.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.6%
20.9%
53.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangzhou City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou City's form might have worsened.
Shanghai Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shanghai Port's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (-34%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shanghai Port, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
0%
42.9%
Guangzhou City - Shanghai Port Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Guangzhou City will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Shanghai Port will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou City: 31.2% โ 83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 7).
Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Shanghai Port has the most likely position - 3 (100%), has project points - 66, has currently - 66, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, has not chance of win league.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 0.
Guangzhou City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Shanghai Port is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Shanghai Port have a series of guest games.
In this match Shanghai Port is certain favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 26-34.
Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou City won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-19.
Watch
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