The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 41.4%
Draw 28.1%
Guangzhou City 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.6%
23.9%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.7%
22.7%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's form might have worsened.
Guangzhou City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangzhou City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangzhou City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65.2%
8.7%
26.1%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Guangzhou City Predictions
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 30 - 65.2%). Guangzhou City will win (votes: 12 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 51.4% โ 79%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15).
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has the most likely position - 7 (100%), has project points - 41, has currently - 41, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 2.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Guangzhou City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win the game is with odds 1.58.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.