Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Yuexiushan Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou City		Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.72
	4.6	3.6	1.66
	4.1	3.7	1.75
	4.6	3.7	1.69
	4.68	3.92	1.72
	5	3.6	1.62
	4.9	3.84	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (5.43)	3.74 ↓ (4.05)	1.69 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou City
20%

Draw
24.9%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

23.3%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

23.5%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	12.1%	78.8%

Guangzhou City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Predictions

Users Predictions: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (26 of 33 users predict this - 78.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.84% – 92.74%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 11).

Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has the most likely position - 7 (100%), has project points - 41, has currently - 41, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 3.

Guangzhou City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou City won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou City FC
Chinese Super League
27.08.22	Guangzhou City - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
22.08.22	Beijing Guoan - Guangzhou City	1:0 ✺
17.08.22	Meizhou Hakka - Guangzhou City	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Guangzhou City - Wuhan	0:5 ✺
06.08.22	Guangzhou City - Wuhan Three Towns	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League
27.08.22	Shanghai Port - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0 ✺
21.08.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
15.08.22	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Changchun Yatai	2:2 ✺
11.08.22	Hebei CFFC - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	3:4 ✺
06.08.22	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
16.07.19	Guangzhou City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1
29.03.19	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Guangzhou City	4:3
01.09.18	Guangzhou City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:0
14.04.18	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Guangzhou City	2:1
29.10.17	Guangzhou City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	3:2
24.06.17	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Guangzhou City	1:2
16.07.16	Guangzhou City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	3:2

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