Match Info

Date: 13 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Yuexiushan Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou City		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.55
	2.8	3.1	2.5
	2.83	3.25	2.61
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.78	3.24	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.53)	3.11 ↓ (3.46)	2.54 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou City
33.2%

Draw
30%

Guangzhou Evergrande
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.6%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Guangzhou City - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Guangzhou City will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 0.

Guangzhou City is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guangzhou Evergrande could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 37-59.

Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou City won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-33.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou City FC
Chinese Super League
03.09.22	Guangzhou City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Guangzhou City - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
22.08.22	Beijing Guoan - Guangzhou City	1:0 ✺
17.08.22	Meizhou Hakka - Guangzhou City	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Guangzhou City - Wuhan	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLLL
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Super League
09.09.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:0 ✺
01.09.22	Zhejiang Professional - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
24.08.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dalian Pro	0:0 ✺
21.08.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shenzhen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
24.07.21	Guangzhou City - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:3
20.04.21	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangzhou City	2:2
04.09.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangzhou City	2:1
30.07.20	Guangzhou City - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:5
20.07.19	Guangzhou City - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:5
06.04.19	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangzhou City	2:0
05.08.18	Guangzhou City - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:4

Guangzhou City - Guangzhou Evergrande: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide