Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Yuexiushan Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou City		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
	8	4.5	1.4
	8	4.4	1.37
	9.5	4.75	1.32
	7.8	4.5	1.37
	9.29	4.56	1.38
	9.5	4.2	1.32
	8.5	4.6	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.66 ↑ (8.05)	4.5 ↓ (4.56)	1.36 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou City
10.8%

Draw
20.7%

Chengdu Rongcheng
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

20.4%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.1%

19.6%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Guangzhou City - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Guangzhou City will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 8).

Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Guangzhou City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chengdu Rongcheng is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guangzhou City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Chengdu Rongcheng have a series of guest games.

In this match Chengdu Rongcheng is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chengdu Rongcheng to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou City FC
Chinese Super League
22.08.22	Beijing Guoan - Guangzhou City	1:0 ✺
17.08.22	Meizhou Hakka - Guangzhou City	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Guangzhou City - Wuhan	0:5 ✺
06.08.22	Guangzhou City - Wuhan Three Towns	0:3 ✺
10.07.22	Zhejiang Professional - Guangzhou City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
21.08.22	Shandong Taishan - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:1 ✺
17.08.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:2 ✺
12.08.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
05.08.22	Hebei CFFC - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
11.07.22	Meizhou Hakka - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
14.10.21	Guangzhou City - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 penalties

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