The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guangzhou Evergrande 31.3%
Draw 29.1%
Shenzhen 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
27.6%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.5%
27.1%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou Evergrande's performance.
Shenzhen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shenzhen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou Evergrande that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shenzhen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
30%
20%
Guangzhou Evergrande - Shenzhen Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Shenzhen will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou Evergrande: 28.1% – 71.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 12).
Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.
Shenzhen has the most likely position - 15 (100%), has project points - 21, has currently - 21, was already of relegated.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 4.
Guangzhou Evergrande is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Shenzhen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Shenzhen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Shenzhen will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou Evergrande won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.
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