Match Info

CHINA: FA CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)


	Cangzhou Mighty Lions		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.55
	1.38	4.6	6
	2.17	3.19	3.37
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	2.05	3.3	3.3	Watch
	1.27	4.9	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.45)	3.7 ↓ (4)	4.1 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
51.8%

Draw
25.4%

Guangzhou Evergrande
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

21.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cangzhou Mighty Lions's form might have worsened.

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangzhou Evergrande's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cangzhou Mighty Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangzhou Evergrande, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.7%	13.6%	63.6%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Cangzhou will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou Evergrande: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 1.

Cangzhou is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cangzhou is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Cangzhou won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
15.12.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
09.12.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Wuhan	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Wuhan Three Towns	0:4 ✺
30.11.22	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:3 ✺
26.11.22	Changchun Yatai - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 TWLWW
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Super League
15.12.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shandong Taishan	2:4 ✺
10.12.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangzhou City	0:0 ✺
05.12.22	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
01.12.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
04.11.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	3:3
07.08.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:0
02.08.21	Guangzhou Evergrande - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	5:2
09.05.21	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:2
15.10.16	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:6
11.06.16	Guangzhou Evergrande - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	0:0
28.06.15	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1

Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide